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We have AI 2027. Where's Cyberpocalypse 2027?

Jenna_Parr

Global
Publié le 9 novembre 2026

Description du poste

AI scenario forecasting has a big blind spot: when AI is superhuman at hacking, what happens to the rest of society? And how does what happens to society affect AI? To the extent that scenarios like AI 2027 address it at all, they concentrate on how cyberwarfare directly impacts the labs, such as with model weight theft. But second order effects don't get addressed. Examples of relevant disruptive events: • A significant fraction of the US's 170,000 water and sewer systems get taken down by hacks.• Banks get hacked en masse and take months to revert their records from storage and rebuild a trusted compute stack.• Wikipedia or other online stores of knowledge go down.• Email, phones, chat servers, and calls experience regular outages.• Traffic control systems, rideshares, and city transit systems get outages or degraded service.• Food supply chains degrade and there are shortages and price hikes.And then there could be follow up effects: • Services whose competitors experience outages are overloaded and go down themselves.• People might stop being able to show up to work.• Organizations may decide to cut off outside network access preemptively en masse.• If organizations have issues establishing a secure outside connection at all, they may not be able to access AI-based cyber recovery services.• Presidents and prime ministers declare national emergencies and mobilize agencies to respond. However...• The workforce of cyber and disaster response teams are sized for current workloads, not for the impending massive disaster, so there would be a long queue.• Segments of the economy that ordinarily aren't thought of as bottlenecks because they're too large, might go down all at once due to correlated vulnerabilities.• Policymakers may get paranoid and start calling for war. It may become impossible to tell who or what sabotaged what.• All of this is happening while society's general coordination capability is being piecemeal degraded to pre-1950s or worse communicatio